Emmanuel Macron Re-Elected President of France; Fragile European Alliance Holds

Emmanuel Macron has retained the French presidency, beating back right-wing, Russian president Vladimir Putin-supported candidate Marine Le Pen with an estimated 58.2% of the vote to her 41.8%, based on 8pm Sunday evening estimates.

For all of his problems, Macron is the first French leader in 20 years to win re-election — since 2002. In that faceoff then-president Jacques Chirac won against Le Pen’s rabidly anti-immigrant father, Jean-Marie Le Pen.

There is every possibility that Macron won the election because Marine Le Pen lost it. Public perception is that Macron is beyond French-style arrogant and aloof, and he has done too much to advance the interests of the rich in France.

“He will have to demonstrate he is not going to govern as he did during his first term–quite alone,” Marc Lazar, political history professor at Paris’s Sciences Po university, told TIME on Sunday night, as it became clear that Macron had won. “He will have to negotiate more, and look for compromises.”

“There is a sense of decline,” Nicolas Becuwe, senior director of Kantar Public in Brussels, said on Thursday, during an online presentation of the polling company’s data across the E.U. “France is the most pessimistic country in all of Europe.”